物流业上市公司的盈余管理模式研究

针对中国物流业的发展现状,以分析上市公司盈余管理的动机为起点,对物流业的盈余管理模式进行剖析。     

Inflation Targeting as Constrained Discretion

This paper suggests a simple framework for modeling inflation targeting as constrained discretion. Although it is widely claimed that inflation targeting has been successful in maintaining low and stable inflation, an announcement of an inflation target does not by itself mean that central bankers are precommiting to how they conduct monetary policy. In comparison to the assumption of many theoretical studies, central banks conduct monetary policy in a discretionary fashion and rarely precommit to a rule in reality. Therefore, the central bank in this paper is modeled as discretionary, yet faced with a constraint, that an average of future inflation over a certain horizon should be kept on or near the preannounced target level. It is natural to add this constraint to the central banker’s optimization problem, since inflation targeting involves one way or another an evaluation of the performance over a certain horizon. So it is argued that the better outcome of inflation targeting does not come from a commitment but from “constrained discretion.” This paper also sheds some light on optimal targeting horizon.     

Labor and Corporate Governance: International Evidence from Restructuring Decisions

Our results highlight the importance of interaction among management, labor, and investors in shaping corporate governance. We find that strong union laws protect not only workers but also underperforming managers. Weak investor protection combined with strong union laws are conducive to worker–management alliances, wherein poorly performing firms sell assets to prevent large-scale layoffs, garnering worker support to retain management. Asset sales in weak investor protection countries lead to further deteriorating performance, whereas in strong investor protection countries they improve performance and lead to more layoffs. Strong union laws are less effective in preventing layoffs when financial leverage is high.     

Developing Standards for Trail Conditions Using Image Capture Technology

Abstract

This study compares normative standards for trail impacts measured using three alternatives suggested by the literature. During September and October 2002, data were collected from a survey of 281 day hikers at three trail locations in Mudeung-Mountain Provincial Park, Korea. For the overall photo evaluation method (OPEM), respondents were asked to rate the acceptability of bare soil area for each of a series of photographs. For the specific photo evaluation method-1 (SPEM-1), respondents were asked to select a photograph that illustrated the largest acceptable proportion of bare soil area from a series of 10 photographs. For the specific photo evaluation method-2 (SPEM-2), respondents were asked to circle a number representing the largest acceptable proportion of bare soil area on a scale after looking at three referent photographs. Aggregated normative standards varied somewhat for different measurement alternatives and trail locations. Although SPEM-1 was the easiest alternative for respondents, followed by SPEM-2 and OPEM, more respondents preferred OPEM and SPEM-1 compared to SPEM-2.     

On the Asymmetric U‐Shaped Relationship between Inflation,Inflation Uncertainty,and Relative Price Skewness in the UK

We investigate the asymmetric relationships between aggregate inflation and the second and third moments of the cross‐sectional distribution of relative prices using a modified Calvo pricing model with regime‐dependent price rigidities. Calibration experiments reveal that the inflation‐standard deviation and inflation‐skewness relationships exhibit U‐shaped asymmetries around the historical mean inflation rate. UK sectoral data support our results. We conclude that monetary policy should target an inflation rate proximate to the (common) minima of these nonlinear relationships and that core inflation measures should not be used for policy purposes as they exclude much of the information contained in the higher moments.     

FUZZY ACTIVITY BASED COSTING: A METHODOLOGY FOR HANDLING UNCERTAINTY IN ACTIVITY BASED COSTING SYSTEMS

Activity based costing (ABC) systems are often developed using estimated input data. A methodology based on fuzzy set theory has been developed to handle estimation imprecision and uncertainty in ABC systems. This methodology creates a new type of ABC system; a fuzzy activity based costing (FABC) system. This paper introduces the concepts behind FABC, discusses the FABC system development process, and presents a FABC system that was developed for a mid-sized pharmaceutical company. Compared to ABC analysis, the developed FABC system provides additional and more valuable decision making information to the company.     

A CLIOMETRIC REVOLUTION IN THE ECONOMIC HISTORY OF KOREA: A CRITICAL REVIEW

Cliometric approaches to the economic history of Korea have emerged as a distinctive trend from the mid‐1990s. They have quickly made profound changes to our understanding of Korea's economic history from 1700 to 1945. The most remarkable include identifying the long‐term decline of agricultural productivity from around 1800, the subsequent upswing in economic development from the late nineteenth century, and the continuing growth during the Japanese colonial era, 1910–45. We survey primarily the Korean language literature that reports the achievements of this cliometric movement and speculate about the future research agenda.     

物流业上市公司的盈余管理模式研究

针对中国物流业的发展现状,以分析上市公司盈余管理的动机为起点,对物流业的盈余管理模式进行剖析.     

Effect of Price Limits: Initial Public Offerings versus Seasoned Equities*

In this paper, we examine the effect of price limits on initial public offerings (IPOs) using Taiwanese data. On average, it takes 6.24 days for IPOs to reach their equilibrium prices in the presence of a 7% price limit. We compare IPOs with their industry‐ and size‐matched seasoned equities (MSEs) and observe higher volatility levels on subsequent days for IPOs than for MSEs. However, the higher volatility decays within 2 days. Lower price limits interfere with trading and lead to higher trading activity on subsequent days for IPOs than for MSEs. We also observe delayed price discovery for both IPOs and MSEs. Overall, our results provide evidence about the effect of price limits on IPOs and generate important regulatory implications for countries imposing price limits on IPOs.     

DERIVATION OF AN INTERTEMPORAL CORRELATION COEFFICIENT MODEL BASED ON CASH FLOW COMPONENTS AND PROBABILISTIC EVALUATION OF A PROJECT'S NPV

If the first two moments (mean and variance) of the net present value (NPV) are known, various probabilistic information of possible NPV can be derived. However, in general, it is practically impossible to estimate the variance of lengthy investment projects due to difficulties in estimating all the intertemporal correlation coefficients between cash flows of two different periods. In this paper, we derive an estimation model for the intertemporal coefficients based on cash flow components and show how the model, under a certain assumption, can be used for estimating and deriving probabilistic information.